How AI & Robots are Smashing Economics, and Why It Matters
The relationship between inflation and unemployment is falling apart. Robots may be to blame.
complexity
8 articles
California's Reversing Atmospheric Rivers
In winter California is highly dependent on a few atmospheric river events. In summer these rivers reverse, and the reversing rivers are getting larger.
LLMs as Organisms, Part 1: Old Man Shouts at Multinomial
In the first entries in a multi-part series I look at how LLMs are grown, not engineered, and the consequences. I use this insight to develop a new way of thinking about science and the nature of progress
Risks, Immortal Finns, and Congressional Stability
In this post I examine the actuarial structures of various groups—from Finnish 8-year-olds to Congress—and the implications. It includes an interactive tool I designed to let people play with risk models.
Sic Semper Tyrannis: Stuck in a Timeline
When consensus predictions don't pan out, it is always worth noting. That is why it is so striking how little attention it is getting that we had the future of technology dead wrong.
Running to Not Stand Still: AI, Nuclear Power, and Florida
Some updates on AI, energy, Jevons paradox, and how we are not even running to stand still in some complex systems
Agents, Mimicry, & a Monte Carlo Simulation of the Pomfret Problem
Mimicry is a complex and important topic across biology, markets, social networks, and other domains. It can lead to unexpected outcomes, as well as new sources of fragility.