Paul Kedrosky
Paul Kedrosky
@paul@paulkedrosky.com · Feb 9

The METR graph cited by Brown is, btw, misleading at best, given its linear y-axis. Gains build, so will always look non-linear on a linear time axis. It should be a log-axis, and can see that then are two regimes, before reasoning models became the default choice and afterward. That was an architectural choice, not a breakthrough.