Prices and Wages
People often view wages and prices as separate when, in reality, rising wages can lead to increased prices as businesses seek to recover higher labor costs.
All You Need ... is All You Need
The most important paper of all time came out in June of 1951. It changed science. And science is about to change again.
California Weather Imagery
Lots of things coming, one tomorrow, but a quick shot of some striking weather imagery: the water vapor loop of
The Lithium Boom, Retractions, Real Estate, and Skateboarding
What the rise of skateboarding, the lithium boom, a spate of research paper retractions, and Canadian real estate tell us about the world.
Monday Roundup: Regional Conflicts, LLMs, Premier League, Snow Deficit, etc.
On airports, snow droughts, the rise in global conflicts, and more.
Risks, Immortal Finns, and Congressional Stability
In this post I examine the actuarial structures of various groups—from Finnish 8-year-olds to Congress—and the implications. It includes an interactive tool I designed to let people play with risk models.
Sic Semper Tyrannis: Stuck in a Timeline
When consensus predictions don't pan out, it is always worth noting. That is why it is so striking how little attention it is getting that we had the future of technology dead wrong.
Revenge Effects in Waste, Fast Fashion, and EVs
Technology often has unintended consequences that reduce the benefit of the technology itself. I wrote about a variant of this in my posts about Stanley Jevons, but in this note we abstract up a little and talk about revenge effects in more general terms.